Tinjauan Analitis Pasangan Mata Uang Utama pada 2025.03.05

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 1.0487
• Tutup sebelumnya: 1.0626
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +1.32 %

The euro continued to rise, rising above $1.06 and approaching levels last seen in mid-December, boosted by the prospect of increased defense spending by European governments. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said new EU plans to strengthen Europe’s defense industry could raise about 800 billion euros. She also proposed giving states more financial flexibility to invest in the defense industry, as well as providing 150 billion euros in loans to support the effort. President Donald Trump suspended military aid to Ukraine just days after a public clash with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 1.0602, 1.0561, 1.0466
• Level resistance: 1.0662, 1.0728

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bullish. The euro is steadily strengthening, breaking through all resistance levels without significant pullbacks. At the moment, there are no preconditions for a trend reversal. For buying, it is best to consider the EMA lines or the support level of 1.0602. There are no optimal entry points for selling at the moment.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks through the support level of 1.0389 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 1.2696
• Tutup sebelumnya: 1.2795
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.78 %

The expectation of gradual rate cuts coupled with geopolitical events boosted investor confidence in the pound, leading to its first monthly rise against the US dollar since September. In addition, the pound is seen as less vulnerable to US tariffs after President Trump said during a meeting with the Prime Minister last week that there was a “very good possibility” of a trade deal “where tariffs would not be necessary”.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 1.2768, 1.2704, 1.2645
• Level resistance: 1.2811

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair has changed to an upward trend. The British pound, as well as the euro, is steadily strengthening without special pullbacks. At the moment, there are no preconditions for the trend reversal. For buying it is best to consider the EMA lines or the support level of 1.2768. There are no optimal entry points for selling.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks the support level of 1.2582 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 149.51
• Tutup sebelumnya: 149.76
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.17 %

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is considering further interest rate hikes but is unlikely to accelerate the process as core inflation has yet to reach the Central Bank’s 2% target, Deputy Governor Uchida said in a speech to business leaders. He warned that a premature tightening of monetary policy could slow economic activity and hamper wage growth. Uchida reiterated that the Central Bank remains committed to raising rates gradually, provided the economy continues to improve and inflation rises along with wages.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 149.06, 148.70, 148.28, 147.32
• Level resistance: 150.16, 151.29, 152.32

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY currency pair is bearish. Yesterday, the price bounced sharply from the support level of 148.28. Buyers raised the price to 150.16, where there is now a partial fixation of profits. It is expected that the yen will now form a broadly volatile flat. Support levels of 149.06 or 148.70 can be considered for buying, but only with confirmation. There are no optimal entry points for selling right now.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks above the resistance at 151.29, the uptrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 2892
• Tutup sebelumnya: 2918
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.90 %

The gold price held above $2,910 per ounce on Wednesday, holding on to recent gains and trading near record highs, helped by safe-haven demand amid the introduction of US tariffs. Trump’s 25 percent duties on Mexican and Canadian imports went into effect on Tuesday, as well as an increase in Chinese duties to 20 percent, heightening trade tensions and triggering retaliatory measures. Another factor boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal was that the US suspended military aid to Ukraine amid reports of a potential easing of sanctions on Russia.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 2896, 2859, 2833
• Level resistance: 2930, 2940, 2944

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bearish, but fundamental conditions for further growth are forming. For buy deals, the most optimal level for entry is the support level of 2896. However, the price may not give such a pullback and continue to grow from the EMA lines. Selling can also be considered if the price reacts to the resistance zone above 2930.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks and consolidates above the resistance at 2945, the uptrend will likely resume.